Rashtriya Janata Dal MLA Bhai Virendra has claimed that Bihar could see another big political change, with the current government falling any day and a Mahagathbandhan government forming. He made the claim on 7 November 2026, saying, "Phir se khela hobe, thoda intezar kijiye," which means the game will happen again, wait a little. A Navbharat Times analysis published on 9 November 2026 examined the claim and found no basis for it in the present political arithmetic.
What Bhai Virendra claimed
Bhai Virendra said the state could witness a major political shift once again and the Mahagathbandhan government could return. His remarks came amid reports of efforts to bring an independent MLC into the BJP, which led to displeasure in the Janata Dal (United) and talk of a crisis over Chief Minister Samrat Choudhary's government. This is not the first time Bhai Virendra has made such a claim. In September 2026, he offered then chief minister Nitish Kumar a chance to leave the NDA and join the Mahagathbandhan. He has repeatedly predicted that the Bihar government could fall.
The numbers behind the analysis
Navbharat Times reported the present assembly arithmetic as follows: the BJP has 89 seats, the JD(U) has 85 seats, and the RJD has 25 seats. On those numbers, the ruling alliance holds a clear majority, and the opposition does not have the strength to form a government on its own. Senior journalist Deepak Kochgawaye was quoted in the analysis as saying that Bihar politics is currently running straight, with no sign of the upheaval that Bhai Virendra predicted. The analysis concluded that the claim of an imminent fall of the government has no ground in the present situation.
A history of Bihar's political twists
Bihar has seen dramatic political changes in recent years, which is why claims of another twist attract attention. On 9 August 2022, Nitish Kumar broke with the NDA and formed a government with the RJD and the Congress in the Mahagathbandhan. On 28 January 2024, he broke with the Mahagathbandhan and returned to the NDA. That history explains why Bhai Virendra's claim was widely discussed. The Navbharat Times analysis, however, notes that past twists do not by themselves prove that another one is coming, and the current seat numbers do not support the claim.
What to watch
The claim and the analysis together show the two sides of Bihar politics at present: the opposition RJD keeps predicting a change of government, while the ruling alliance points to its majority in the assembly. Unless the numbers in the assembly change, the government led by Chief Minister Samrat Choudhary faces no immediate threat, according to the analysis.
